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VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 26

Bundesliga - Gameweek 26

Sunday, 15 Mar 2026 • 14:00

VfB Stuttgart

1 : 0

RB Leipzig

Goals

Deniz Undav
1 : 0
56'
56'Deniz Undav
1 : 0

Game Review

In a tightly contested Bundesliga match, VfB Stuttgart secured a narrow 1-0 victory over RB Leipzig, thanks to a decisive goal from Deniz Undav (GAP +4.4%) in the 56th minute. This result was somewhat unexpected, given RB Leipzig's stronger position in the league and their recent form. However, Stuttgart's disciplined performance and tactical execution allowed them to claim all three points. The match was characterized by a balanced first half, with both teams creating opportunities but failing to convert them into goals. Stuttgart's defense, led by Alexander Nübel (GAP +3.7%), was particularly resilient, thwarting Leipzig's attacking efforts. The breakthrough came in the second half when Undav capitalized on a defensive lapse to score the only goal of the game. Tactically, Stuttgart's manager made no changes to the starting lineup from their previous match, opting to maintain consistency. In contrast, RB Leipzig's head coach made several adjustments, bringing in Castello Lukeba (GAP +5.2%) and Antonio Nusa (GAP +0.1%) among others, but these changes did not yield the desired impact. Key performances included Luca Jaquez (GAP +5.4%), who was instrumental in midfield, and Ramon Hendriks (GAP +3.0%), who provided stability at the back. For Leipzig, David Raum (GAP +3.7%) was a standout, but his efforts were not enough to break down Stuttgart's organized defense. Post-match reactions highlighted Stuttgart's strategic discipline and the importance of Undav's goal. The win boosts Stuttgart's confidence as they aim to climb the Bundesliga table, while Leipzig will need to regroup and address their attacking inefficiencies. This victory sees Stuttgart gaining momentum, potentially impacting their league position positively, while Leipzig must reassess their approach to maintain their standing in the upper echelons of the Bundesliga.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart

PosPlayer
GK
Alexander Nübel
DEF
Atakan Karazor
DEF
Ramon Hendriks
DEF
Luca Jaquez
MID
Chris Führich
MID
Jamie Leweling
MID
Angelo Stiller
MID
Bilal El Khannous
MID
Finn Jeltsch
FWD
Ermedin Demirović
FWD
Deniz Undav

Substitutes

69'Maximilian Mittelstädtfor Chris Führich
69'Tiago Tomásfor Ermedin Demirović
69'Nikolas Narteyfor Bilal El Khannous
81'Lorenz Assignonfor Jamie Leweling
86'Chema Andrésfor Atakan Karazor

RB Leipzig

PosPlayer
GK
Maarten Vandevoordt
DEF
Willi Orban
DEF
David Raum
DEF
Castello Lukeba
MID
Christoph Baumgartner
MID
Ridle Baku
MID
Nicolas Seiwald
MID
Antonio Nusa
MID
Ezechiel Banzuzi
FWD
Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
FWD
Yan Diomande

Substitutes

64'Brajan Grudafor Ezechiel Banzuzi
71'Xaver Schlager
for Nicolas Seiwald
71'Johan Bakayokofor Antonio Nusa
71'Conrad Harderfor Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
88'Benjamin Henrichsfor Ridle Baku
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
4VfB Stuttgart2615565134+1750
W
D
W
D
W
5RB Leipzig2614574835+1347
D
D
W
W
L

Last Games

VfB Stuttgart

@FSV Mainz 05
2 - 2
vsVfL Wolfsburg
4 - 0
@FC Heidenheim
3 - 3
vs1. FC Köln
3 - 1
@St. Pauli
1 - 2

RB Leipzig

vsFC Augsburg
2 - 1
@Hamburger SV
2 - 1
vsBorussia Dortmund
2 - 2
vsVfL Wolfsburg
2 - 2
@1. FC Köln
2 - 1

Head-to-Head

15 Mar 2026
VfB Stuttgart1 - 0RB Leipzig
15 Mar 2026VfB Stuttgart
1 - 0
RB Leipzig
01 Nov 2025
RB Leipzig3 - 1VfB Stuttgart
01 Nov 2025RB Leipzig
3 - 1
VfB Stuttgart
17 May 2025
RB Leipzig2 - 3VfB Stuttgart
17 May 2025RB Leipzig
2 - 3
VfB Stuttgart
15 Jan 2025
VfB Stuttgart2 - 1RB Leipzig
15 Jan 2025VfB Stuttgart
2 - 1
RB Leipzig
27 Jan 2024
VfB Stuttgart5 - 2RB Leipzig
27 Jan 2024VfB Stuttgart
5 - 2
RB Leipzig

Bundesliga

Gameweek 26

13 Mar • 20:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
2 - 0
14 Mar • 15:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Bayern München
1 - 1
14 Mar • 15:30
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg
2 - 0
14 Mar • 15:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Heidenheim
1 - 0
14 Mar • 15:30
1899 Hoffenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
1 - 1
14 Mar • 18:30
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
1 - 1
15 Mar • 14:00
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
1 - 0
15 Mar • 14:00
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
0 - 2
15 Mar • 14:00
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.